Alpha Leagues · Pricing + Category Decisions · 2026-04-29

The decisions Jeremy + Jason are locking today.

Three strategic calls roll into one session: category umbrella name for the side-contests system, 3-tier pricing model, and Founding Cohort offer structure. All three are research-backed with team recommendations. This brief is the source of truth for the meeting.

FOR · JEREMY + JASON BROWNLEE · 2026-04-29

Decisions to lock today (TL;DR)

  1. Category name for the side-contests umbrella → "The Action" (Don+Berry+Dave consensus pick)
  2. Pricing model → 3-tier hybrid: Free + Premium League-Wide + Premium Single-Owner Add-On
  3. Founding Cohort price$129/season, 3-yr price lock, first 100-250 leagues
  4. Premium League-Wide Standard (post-cohort) → $149/season
  5. Premium Single-Owner Add-On$39/season — flagged for cost review (may need to move to $59-79 depending on actual LLM costs Jason confirms)
  6. Free tier scope → standard scoring only / 12-team max / no IDP / no custom Comms — pure acquisition funnel

⚠ Cost-to-provide caveat: Final price points should be set after Jason fills in actual cost numbers (Section 07.5). Single-Owner $39 has thin margin if AI usage is heavy — see worksheet for options.

Contents
01 MFL pricing — confirmed 2026 numbers 02 Custom vs Deluxe — what's actually different 03 Sleeper $100 promo — what that meant 04 Full competitor pricing matrix 05 Single-owner adjacent products 06 Willingness-to-pay signals 07 Alpha recommended pricing 07.5 Cost-to-provide worksheet 08 ARPU comparison vs market 09 Category umbrella name 10 Open questions for Jason
01 · MFL Pricing

My Fantasy League — confirmed 2026 numbers.

Jeremy's read of "MFL is over $100" — verified on MFL's own purchase page. Late-window pricing has been $100+ since 2025. First Pick Labs (acquired MFL Jan 2024) has hiked ~10%/yr.

2026 MFL pricing (verified directly)

TierBefore Aug 1After Aug 1Multi-league discount
Custom League$99.95$109.95−$10/league for additional
Deluxe League$199.90$219.90−$10/league for additional
Chop League (weekly elimination)$44.95
DFS-Style$49.95
Competitor migration rate$44.95"Switching from another platform"

Historical trajectory (~10%/yr hikes since 2024)

YearLate priceEarly birdYoY change
2010$89.95$69.95baseline
2024 (post-acquisition)$96$79.95stable
2025~$106$89+~10%
2026$109.95$99.95+~3.7%

2026 dynasty change MFL added on top

Beginning 2026, MFL requires prepay of half the next-year entry fee to enable future-year pick trading. Conditionally refundable. Reads as a working-capital grab; the dynasty community noticed (per DLF forum threads).

Strategic read

MFL is the price anchor — and they're vulnerable.

MFL prices ~10%/yr increases imply inelastic demand among power dynasty commishes. They have no alternative for the depth. Alpha's positioning ("match the depth, leapfrog the UX") sits Alpha squarely above MFL's price. The Yahoo Commissioner Plus discontinuation for 2026 + MFL's pick-prepay friction = real switching pressure right now.

02 · MFL Tier Difference

Custom vs Deluxe — what's actually different.

Both tiers include MFL's full customization depth. The difference is structural — Deluxe supports mega-league formats that 95% of leagues never use.

FeatureCustom $109.95Deluxe $219.90
12-team standard league
H2H / points / dynasty / keeper / auction / redraft
Full scoring customization
Custom rules (IDP / Superflex / Devy)
Real-time + voice scoring
950+ helmet templates / custom skins
Multiple conferences / divisions
NFL players on multiple rosters in same league

In plain terms

For Alpha pricing benchmark: the $109.95 Custom price is what we should anchor against — that's what a typical serious commish actually pays MFL today. The $219.90 Deluxe is mostly noise unless we explicitly target multi-conference mega-leagues (probably not in v1).

03 · Sleeper Acquisition Move

Sleeper's "$100 to switch" promo — what that meant.

Found in a Footballguys forum thread titled "Sleeper Paying Commishs $100 to Switch League to Sleeper Today 7-29 Only" — single-day promotion July 29, 2025. Strong market signal even though Sleeper is free.

Mechanism (from forum reports)

Why this matters for Alpha

Sleeper paid for switches because switches are worth it.

Sleeper is FREE to host a league. They have no recurring revenue per league. So when they spend $100/league to acquire a switching commish, that's pure customer acquisition cost — and they only do it if a switched commish drives more than $100 in long-term value (DFS revenue / network effects / data / share-of-attention).

Implications:

04 · Full Competitor Matrix

The whole market at a glance.

PlatformModelCommish/league fee 2026Notes
MFLCommish-pays-per-league$99.95–$219.90Custom / Deluxe (early/late)
CBS SportsCommish-pays-per-league$179.99 ($149 prepay)Up to 30 teams included
RTSportsCommish-pays-per-league$89.95 / $149.95Gold / Platinum tiers
FantraxFree + Premium Commissioner~$99.95Multi-sport
SleeperFree + DFS revenue$0DFS contests separate
ESPNFree + ad revenue$0ESPN+ Premium Leagues paused for 2026
YahooFree$0Commissioner Plus discontinued for 2026 — all features now free
Yahoo Fantasy+ (individual)Per-owner subscription$35/yr19 individual-owner tools
FleaflickerFree + ad-free upgrade$0"Shouldn't need to pay" positioning
NFL FantasyFree + NFL+ adjacency$0NFL+ is content not fantasy-tier
Strategic read

Three tiers visible in the market.

Yahoo killing Commissioner Plus for 2026 is a market unlock — pushes serious Yahoo commishes off Yahoo, into the paid-platform tier where Alpha competes.

05 · Single-Owner Adjacent Products

What individual owners pay for fantasy advice / tools.

These are the comp set for Alpha's "Single-Owner Premium Add-On" tier. Range: $40-100/season.

ProductAnnualMonthlyScope
FantasyPros PRO$48$11.99Draft kit, mocks, cheatsheets, 2 leagues
FantasyPros MVP$72$16.99+ live draft sync, dynasty, 10 leagues
FantasyPros HOF$108$22.99+ Coach AI, DFS optimizer, 50 leagues
Footballguys PRO$48$9.99Projections, ranks, draft
Footballguys ELITE$69$14.99+ dynasty + IDP + cap
4for4 Lite$39Projections, ranks (no live sync)
4for4 Pro$59+ Draft Hero live sync, LeagueSync
FantasyLife T1$40$3.33Rankings HQ, Draft Champion
FantasyLife T2$100$8.33+ Fantasy HQ, Trade Analyzer, DFS
DLF Premium$100Dynasty rankings, ADP, podcasts
ETR Bundle (DFS-grade)$290Outlier — DFS-focused

Anchor band: $40-100/season. The "advice + tools" cluster is ~$48 (FantasyPros PRO, Footballguys PRO). The "dynasty-specific" cluster is ~$80-100 (DLF, FantasyLife T2, FP MVP).

06 · Willingness-to-Pay Signals

What the community is actually saying.

07 · Alpha Recommended Pricing

3-tier hybrid model — research-backed.

Free Tier
$0
acquisition funnel
Standard scoring only. 12-team max. Basic dynasty support. In-league chat. Mobile-first. NO custom scoring, IDP, multi-conference, custom branding, premium Comms. Limited Trade Hub. Basic Draft Room. Read-only Alpha AI digest. Pure acquisition — converts via natural friction when commish wants more.
Premium League-Wide · Standard
$149/season
post-cohort, new leagues
Same scope as Founding Cohort. Slots above RTSports Platinum ($150), below CBS Sports ($180). $20 above founding cohort signals real value capture. Annual ~5% increases mirror MFL cadence; never raise on existing cohorts.

Plus Single-Owner Add-On (bonus revenue)

TierPriceScope
Single-Owner Premium$39/seasonPersonalized AI insights, advanced trade analyzer, draft sync, matchup intel, mock draft simulator, lineup optimizer, personal newsletter
Year-1 grandfather$29/seasonSeed the conversion habit in early cohort
Why $129 not $99 (researcher's logic)

"Premium positioning, not discount-MFL."

"MFL at $110 is the floor. Alpha at $99 says 'we're a discount MFL.' Alpha at $129 says 'we're the next-generation MFL.' The +$19 vs MFL is psychologically immaterial against a $1,200+ league pot."

Multi-league discount strategy: -$15/league for additional (vs MFL's -$10) = retention edge against power commishes who run 3+ leagues.

07.5 · Cost-to-Provide Worksheet

What does each feature actually cost us?

Pricing should be cost + margin target, not just competitor-anchored. Jason fills in actual numbers from Alpha's stack. Jeremy validates against feature scope. Output = real unit economics that informs the final price lock.

Cost categories to model

Public benchmarks (rough — Jason refines with actual stack)

FeatureCost driverPer-league estPer-owner estNotes / Jason
Live scoring (real-time NFL stats)NFL data feed wholesale$5-15SportsRadar / Genius / RotoWire — depends on contract scale
Alpha AI co-commish (league-wide)LLM API tokens × usage$5-3010k tokens/use × ~30-100 uses/season; varies wildly by commish engagement
Comms (real-time chat)Pusher/Ably or in-house WS$2-512 owners avg; mostly fixed
Trade Hub / Trade BlockCompute + DB$1-3Minimal incremental
The Action (side contests system)Compute + DB$1-3Ledger reads/writes only — Alpha doesn't move money
Custom keepers / contracts / dynasty / capDB compute$0.50-1.50Stored config; minimal runtime
Newsletter automation (AI-drafted)LLM API$2-8~30 weeks × 5k tokens × $0.01-0.03/1k
Discord integrationWebhook compute$0.50-1.50Webhook fan-out — minimal
Hosting baselineAWS / Cloudflare / Railway$5-15Varies with scale; lower at higher leagues count
Support cost1 FTE per ~3000 leagues$5-15Year 1 will be higher (high-touch white-glove)
Stripe / billingTransaction fee~3% rev~3% rev2.9% + $0.30 per charge
SINGLE-OWNER ADD-ON FEATURES (per active premium owner)
Personalized AI insightsLLM API per-user$10-25HEAVIEST single-owner cost — daily/weekly insights × ~25 weeks
Advanced trade analyzerCompute + LLM$2-5Variable on usage
Draft syncCompute$0.50-1.50Real-time sync during ~3-hour drafts
Matchup intelLLM + projections$2-6Weekly during season
Mock draft simulatorCompute$0.50-2Pre-season heavy use, then drops
Lineup optimizerCompute + projections$1-3Weekly during season
Personal newsletter / digestLLM API per-user$3-8~25 weeks × 3k tokens

Range estimates (using mid-points)

Per-league variable cost (Premium League-Wide)

Estimated $25-65/league/season

Wide range driven by AI usage. A commish who barely uses Alpha AI co-commish + AI newsletter = bottom of range (~$25). A heavy commish using AI for every roster decision + dispute + recap = top of range (~$65). Most commishes will land $35-50.

Per-owner variable cost (Single-Owner Premium)

Estimated $20-50/owner/season

Heavily AI-driven. Personalized AI insights + matchup intel + personal newsletter alone could be $15-39 in LLM API costs at heavy use. This is the area where the $39/season recommendation has thin margin. Need Jason's actual LLM cost-per-active-user numbers.

Margin implications at recommended pricing

TierPriceEst variable costContribution marginMargin %
Premium League-Wide · Founding ($129)$129$25-65 mid $45$64-10450-80%
Premium League-Wide · Standard ($149)$149$25-65 mid $45$84-12456-83%
Single-Owner Premium ($39)$39$20-50 mid $35($-11 to +19)-28% to 49%
Single-Owner ($29 grandfather)$29$20-50 mid $35($-21 to +9)NEGATIVE on heavy users
Critical finding

Single-owner $39 is too low if AI usage is heavy.

If Single-Owner Premium delivers full AI advisor (personalized insights + matchup intel + personal newsletter), $39/season may not cover variable cost on heavy users. Three options:

Open inputs Jason can fill in tonight

Once Jason fills these in, swap the public benchmarks for actual numbers and re-derive the recommended price points. The League-Wide pricing recommendation ($129/$149) likely holds. The Single-Owner $39 may need to move up to $59-79.

08 · ARPU Comparison

Per-league revenue vs the market.

PlatformPer-league fee+ per-owner attachTotal per-league ARPU
MFL Custom (late 2026)$109.95$0 (no add-on)$109.95
MFL Deluxe (late 2026)$219.90$0$219.90
CBS Sports$179.99$0$179.99
Sleeper$0$0 (DFS rev separate)$0
Alpha · Founding Cohort$12912 × 30% × $39 = $140$269
Alpha · Standard$14912 × 30% × $39 = $140$289
Bottom line

Alpha is the ARPU leader of season-long fantasy.

At $149 standard with 30% per-owner attach: $289 per-league ARPU = 2.6× MFL Custom, 1.6× CBS, 1.3× MFL Deluxe — while staying only 35% above MFL list price.

Unit economics (researcher's modeled): $20-35 variable cost per league at sub-1,000 league scale = 75-80% gross margin. Funds the engineering velocity Alpha needs to leapfrog MFL's UX.

09 · Category Naming

What to call the side-contests umbrella.

Jeremy's insight: "There has never been a name given to these in the fantasy space." Real leagues run survivor pools, peer props, side bets, weekly pots — but no platform has a canonical umbrella. Alpha gets to name the category. If Alpha succeeds, the name becomes the industry term.

Don+Berry+Dave 3-voice consensus pick

CONSENSUS PICK
The Action
Real commish vocabulary ("any side action this week?"). Doesn't pattern-match a sportsbook (books call themselves the book; bettors call it the action). Ledger-safe. Marketing-elastic ("Dues paid the league. The Action paid the dinner."). Ownable as a section header. All 3 voices converged.
RUNNER-UP
The Sheet
Most authentic fantasy vernacular — what NCAA office pools and pick'em pools are called in real life. Slightly muted as a hero header. Strong as in-product term for individual contest instance.
RUNNER-UP
The Undercard
Boxing/MMA word. Strong for marketing ("Tonight's undercard: Mahomes vs. Allen on most rush yards"). Risk: implies smaller than main event, demoting feel.
PROPRIETARY
The Sidecar
Most distinctive / coined. Motorcycle metaphor — runs alongside the main league. Visitors won't immediately know what's inside. Strong if Alpha commits to teaching the word.

Berry+Don+Dave unanimously rejected

REJECT
Side Bets
"Bets" pattern-matches operator language. Hard no per ledger-not-operator rule.
REJECT
The Ticket
"Tickets" is sportsbook bet-slip vocabulary. Operator-coded.
REJECT
The Lineup
Collides with starting lineup / roster lineup. UX disaster.
REJECT
Extras
Demotes the category. The whole thesis is these contests ARE the league for many people.
Council recommendation

Lock "The Action" as the umbrella category.

If you want a two-tier vocabulary: The Action = category, Sheets = individual contest instances ("did you join this week's sheet?"). Wild Card / Survivor / High Score / Peer Props sit cleanly underneath as types. Bounty stays banned.

10 · Open Questions for Jason

Things that need engineering / product input.

Sign-off checklist

END OF BRIEF · ALPHA LEAGUES · 2026-04-29